In just a few months, millions of Americans will be casting their vote for the next president. The stakes couldn’t be higher, with crises hammering the country and war brewing overseas.
And Democrats are doing their best to keep Trump off the campaign trail and drain away his resources.
Some might fear the 2024 Election might have the same, confusing outcome as 2020. But there are key differences that will make this year’s election very different than past ones. And one of those differences could give Donald Trump a solid victory.
Following the 2020 Census, the House of Representatives reapportioned congressional seats among the states, a constitutional requirement. Whenever the House of Representatives is reapportioned…
All told, Republican-leaning states gained two votes in the Electoral College and Democrat-leaning states lost two. But the real impact of the changes is much larger than a four-vote swing. The alterations make it possible for Trump to win the 2024 election with fewer states than what was required in 2020.
For example, in 2020, had Trump beat Biden in Arizona, Wisconsin and Georgia — all states he lost — Trump still would have been one vote shy of the 270 Electoral College vote requirement needed to win the race outright. Under the 2024 adjustments, however, Trump would have 272 votes. [Source: Fox News]
The Electoral College has changed since 2020. With that year’s census, major blue states lost electoral votes and red states gained more. Thanks to lockdowns and other brutal factors, droves of Americans have fled Democrat-run states. That resulted in a net loss in both House seats and electoral votes.
It means that Republican-leaning states gained two votes and Democrats lost two. Trump can win fewer states than before and still win the election. Had Trump won Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia in 2020 he still would have been short one vote.
But if he wins those votes this year, he will have 272 votes (while winning the other states he won in 2020). This gives Trump a huge advantage in campaigning. He can focus on fewer states to bring him a victory. Meanwhile, Biden is at a disadvantage.
He’ll have to reach more states if he hopes to deprive Trump of the 270 electoral votes needed to win. And Biden is dealing with major headwinds of his own making. He has to convince voters to keep him in office even though he is responsible for an open border, rampant inflation, conflict overseas, and radical woke policies being forced on American citizens.
Plus, Biden has to fend off the growing popularity of Robert Kennedy Jr. who is fighting to pull away as many liberal voters as possible.
Author: Bo Dogan