It’s been one wild ride to Election Day, folks. This year’s presidential race has been so tight you’d think it was a World Series game tied in extra innings. The polls have see-sawed back and forth, and the media has been pumping up Kamala Harris like she’s the next big thing. But here’s the kicker: the latest numbers are pointing in a different direction. Yep, it looks like Donald Trump might just pull this one off.
Despite the hype, Harris is facing some tough numbers. Sure, she’s been working overtime in the media, but Trump’s recent surge in support has started raising some serious eyebrows. And in a surprise twist, there’s a new development on the horizon that could send the Democrats into a tailspin.
GOP nominee Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in a new poll from a state not often thought of as openly available to Republicans in the presidential race: New Hampshire. The Granite State appears to be up for grabs for Trump as the election draws near.
According to a new poll from the New Hampshire Journal, Trump is up over Harris 50.2 to 49.8 percent, although the margin of error makes the lead of 0.4 percent a statistical tie. However, Republicans have not won the state since 2000, which means the poll could be very significant for the GOP’s chances as Election Day is just over a week away. [Source: The Post Millennial]
Now, here’s where things get interesting. Trump is leading Harris in New Hampshire—a state that’s rarely considered GOP territory. According to a poll from the New Hampshire Journal, Trump is edging out Harris by a razor-thin margin of 0.4 percent.
Why does that matter? Republicans haven’t won New Hampshire in over two decades. But that could all change this year, as Trump leads Harris 50.2 to 49.8 percent. With just over a week until Election Day, this one is going down to the wire.
The poll, run by the New Hampshire Journal and Praecones Analytica, surveyed 622 registered voters between October 24 and 26. Its margin of error is a little under four percent. Statistically, you could call it a tie, but that’s not how the Trump campaign sees it.
Trump’s team is celebrating this unexpected lead as proof that the Granite State is up for grabs. His spokeswoman, Karoline Leavitt, a New Hampshire native, isn’t holding back, either. She’s calling Harris out as a “radical liberal” who’s out of touch with New Hampshire values.
Leavitt argues that Harris’s campaign is in trouble, and she’s on the defensive. That’s likely why the Democrats are pouring resources into New Hampshire, which they once thought was safely theirs. For Granite State voters who prioritize low taxes and individual freedom, Trump’s message seems to be resonating.
Recent trends suggest that the GOP’s momentum in New Hampshire is real. A week ago, Trump only trailed Harris by three points, 47 to 50 percent. Now, he’s practically neck-and-neck, which has analysts saying that Harris’s hold on the state may be slipping.
It’s not just the presidency where New Hampshire could swing red. On the general ballot questions, voters are leaning Republican for Congress, with a slight edge of 52 to 48 percent. And if that wasn’t enough, New Hampshire’s gubernatorial race is also close, with Republican Kelly Ayotte leading Democrat Joyce Craig by nearly two points.
The state legislature is a different story, though. By a thin margin, New Hampshire voters are leaning Democratic for their local seats, 50.6 to 49.4 percent. Clearly, the Granite State’s voters are splitting tickets like nobody’s business.
Author: Kit Fargo